• Baked In
  • Posts
  • 😱 Roger Stone Is On The Board 😱

😱 Roger Stone Is On The Board 😱

GM Everyone,

We had another solid day on the tape yesterday, with Organigram leading the way, up 25% on the back of a strong earnings report. This is akin to seeing a unicorn on South Beach, given that this is the cannabis sector, after all. Nothing trades on fundamentals anymore. Aside from that, some MSOs rallied, while others got blown out—$FFNTF was down 18.14%. Yikes.

Lets see what wednesday holds.

Today’s letter can be read in 8 minutes and 02 seconds.

💸 High Impact

SNDL Takes Over Nova Cannabis

The What - The recent transaction between Nova and SNDL represents a strategic consolidation within the cannabis industry, designed to leverage both companies' strengths while delivering value to shareholders. This deal, which has been carefully structured to optimize retail operations and streamline costs, is expected to have significant implications for both entities.

At the heart of the transaction lies Nova’s retail expertise, which will be instrumental in enhancing SNDL’s entire cannabis retail portfolio. The integration will focus on improving programming, expanding data capabilities, advancing staff training initiatives, and optimizing inventory management. These efforts are aimed at transforming SNDL’s retail operations into a more efficient and effective platform, capable of delivering superior performance in a competitive marketplace.

A key component of the transaction is the anticipated synergies and cost rationalization. By streamlining public company expenses and optimizing general and administrative costs, the combined entity is expected to achieve meaningful savings. This focus on efficiency underscores the strategic intent to create a leaner, more agile organization that can better navigate the complexities of the cannabis industry.

SNDL’s strong balance sheet provides an additional layer of security, ensuring that Nova’s retail platform will continue to receive the necessary support in a challenging market environment. This access to capital is crucial for sustaining operations and driving growth in a sector that is both competitive and rapidly evolving.

For Nova’s shareholders, the transaction offers a clear and attractive proposition. Under the terms of the agreement, shareholders will receive $1.75 in cash for each Nova share, representing a premium of 41.2% over the 20-day volume-weighted average price on the Toronto Stock Exchange as of August 12, 2024. Alternatively, shareholders have the option to elect to receive 0.58 of a common share of SNDL per Nova share, subject to proration and the condition that no more than 50% of the aggregate consideration will be payable in SNDL shares. This structure provides flexibility, allowing shareholders to choose the form of consideration that best aligns with their financial objectives.

The transaction has received approval from the boards of directors of both SNDL and Nova and is expected to close by October 18, 2024. Following the completion of the transaction, Nova’s shares will be delisted from the Toronto Stock Exchange, and the company will apply to cease being a reporting issuer in Canada.

📈 Dog Walkers

Organigrams Posts Another Solid Q

Organigram (Nasdaq: OGI) has demonstrated robust growth, with a 25% year-over-year revenue increase to $41.1 million and a significant improvement in gross margin to 36%. The company turned a $213.5 million loss from the previous year into a net income of $2.8 million, with adjusted EBITDA improving to $3.5 million. Organigram has solidified its market share, holding top positions in key cannabis product categories across Canada. Internationally, the company is expanding its presence, making strategic investments in Europe and securing supply agreements in multiple countries, positioning itself for sustainable, long-term success.

Irwin Naturals Files Bankrupcy

Irwin Naturals Inc. (OTC: IWINF) has hit a rough patch, filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy after a turbulent relationship with East West Bank (EWB). The supplements company defaulted on a $40 million loan, prompting EWB to sue CEO Klee Irwin for alleged self-dealing and fund diversion. With Irwin ousted from the board and the company under financial scrutiny, Chapter 11 offers a last-ditch attempt to reorganize rather than liquidate. However, Irwin’s stock is under a Cease Trade Order, and with mounting debts and no financial statements filed, the company’s future looks shaky at best.

Roger Stone Backs Amendment 3

Roger Stone thinks if Trump backs Florida’s marijuana legalization initiative, it’s a game-changer—"guaranteeing victory." Trump, a Florida resident, hinted he’ll soon reveal his stance on Amendment 3, but for now, he's keeping it cryptic. Stone’s betting on Trump’s belief in state rights, suggesting a nod from him would sway the vote. While Trump’s recent comments suggest a softening on marijuana criminalization, Stone warns that without Trump’s endorsement, it’s anyone’s game. Either way, Trump’s involvement could tip the scales in this high-stakes ballot battle.

📊Chart Of The Day by @Headset.io

🗞️ The News

📺 YouTube

Canopy Growth CEO Comments on Latest Earnings | Trade to Black

What we covered:

Last week, Canopy Growth (NASDAQ: CGC) released their latest earnings report, showing a decrease in revenue which resulted in a loss of $127.1 million for the quarter. This outcome fell short of expectations, raising concerns among cannabis investors.

CEO David Klein joined us to address these concerns and shed light on the company's growth performance, as well as the key focus areas for Canopy Growth in 2025.

Notable highlights included a gross profit of $23 million, representing a 67% increase in medical cannabis sales. Storz & Bickel saw a 2% increase in net revenue in Q1 2025, alongside ongoing cost reduction measures that led to improved adjusted EBITDA.