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  • 👀 Do We Have The Votes? 👀

👀 Do We Have The Votes? 👀

GM Everyone,

According to a leaked dossier, JD Vance's negative stance on cannabis policy has been identified as a potential "vulnerability" during his evaluation for the Vice Presidential spot. This isn't entirely surprising; our firsthand discussions with him reveal that while he's not an outright prohibitionist, he opposes broader cannabis reform. With both Vice Presidential candidates in tonight's debate hailing from states with legalized adult-use cannabis, there's a strong possibility that cannabis policy could surface as a topic on the national stage

But don’t hold your breath.

Today’s letter can be read in 7 minutes and 42 seconds.

💸 High Impact

A SAFE Approach

The Secure and Fair Enforcement (SAFE) Banking Act has once again made its way to the Senate floor, reigniting discussions about the future of banking in the cannabis industry. Sponsored by Senator Jeff Merkley (D-OR) and co-sponsored by a bipartisan group including Senator Steve Daines (R-MT), the bill aims to provide legal cannabis businesses access to traditional banking services. For financial analysts and investors, the progression of this bill is more than a legislative footnote; it's a potential game-changer for the cannabis market and financial institutions alike.

The Bill's Backbone: Sponsors and Co-Sponsors

Senator Jeff Merkley has been the driving force behind the SAFE Banking Act, consistently advocating for the alignment of federal banking laws with state-level cannabis legalization. His partnership with Senator Steve Daines adds a bipartisan flavor to the bill, increasing its chances in a divided Senate. Other notable co-sponsors include Senators Cory Gardner (R-CO), Lisa Murkowski (R-AK), and Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV), reflecting support from states where cannabis is a significant economic contributor.

Why the SAFE Banking Act Matters

Currently, cannabis businesses operating legally under state laws face significant hurdles in accessing banking services due to federal restrictions. This leads to a cash-heavy operation model, posing security risks and financial inefficiencies. The SAFE Banking Act seeks to remove these barriers by prohibiting federal regulators from penalizing banks that serve state-legal cannabis businesses. For financial institutions, this opens up a new client base; for cannabis businesses, it means safer and more efficient operations.

The Filibuster Factor

Enter the filibuster—a Senate rule requiring a supermajority of 60 votes to close debate on most topics and move forward to a vote. The SAFE Banking Act, despite its bipartisan support, faces the daunting task of securing these 60 votes to overcome any potential filibuster. The implications are significant:

  1. Market Uncertainty: A filibuster could delay the bill indefinitely, prolonging the period of operational inefficiency and security risks for cannabis businesses. This uncertainty can deter investment and stifle market growth.

  2. Financial Institutions on Hold: Banks and credit unions eager to tap into the burgeoning cannabis sector may remain sidelined, missing out on potential revenue streams.

  3. Investor Hesitation: Prolonged legislative limbo can lead to volatility in cannabis stock valuations, as investors grapple with the uncertainty of regulatory outcomes.

The Path Forward

For the SAFE Banking Act to circumvent a filibuster, it needs not just majority support but a supermajority—a challenging feat in today's polarized political climate. This elevates the importance of every co-sponsoring senator and underscores the need for continued bipartisan collaboration.

It is imperative to monitor key swing votes and public statements from undecided senators. Additionally, any amendments or concessions made to attract more support could alter the bill's impact on the industry.

📈 Dog Walkers

Tinley Lands Total Wine Distribution

Tinley's Beverage Company has made a significant move by launching its hemp-derived delta-9 THC-infused Beckett's Tonics at Total Wine & More, one of the largest wine retailers in the U.S. This strategic partnership allows Tinley's to tap into a vast consumer base, potentially accelerating revenue growth. By bringing cannabis-infused beverages into mainstream retail, Tinley's is capitalizing on the growing acceptance of cannabis products. For investors, this expansion could signal increased market penetration and a competitive edge in the burgeoning cannabis beverage sector. Additionally, this move reflects an industry-wide trend of cannabis products entering traditional retail outlets, suggesting a shift in consumer behavior. Monitoring Tinley's sales performance and market share following this launch will be crucial for assessing its impact on the company's financial health.

Kamala Endorese Legalization……Again

Vice President Kamala Harris has recently emphasized the need to legalize marijuana at the federal level. Federal legalization would potentially dismantle the regulatory barriers that have limited market expansion, such as banking restrictions and interstate commerce prohibitions. For investors, this could mean increased access to capital markets, a surge in mergers and acquisitions, and a reevaluation of cannabis company valuations. However, while Harris's endorsement is encouraging, the legislative path remains uncertain due to potential political opposition and the complexities of federal lawmaking. Investors should maintain a cautious optimism, closely monitoring policy developments that could reshape the industry's competitive dynamics. Overall, Harris's stance underscores a growing bipartisan acknowledgment of the cannabis sector's economic potential, signaling that significant market opportunities may be on the horizon.

👾 Number Of The Day

$55,983,849 Overall sales in Nevada for the month of September.

Data provided by:

📺 YouTube

MSOS Monday: Truth Behind SAFE Banking Not Receiving Floor Vote | Trade to Black

What we covered:

On the Trade to Black Podcast, featuring Gretchen Gailey, Founder of Panoptic Strategies and Cannabis Lobbyist. She will discuss the latest developments from Washington, including the real reasons why SAFE Banking is not receiving a floor vote and whether it ever will.

Gretchen will address investors' questions and concerns about who is responsible for the progress of SAFE Banking and explain why Mitch McConnell no longer has the authority to block the bill from receiving a floor vote.

Additionally, she will identify the Senator currently obstructing the bill's progress and outline what is ultimately needed from both the Senate and the House for it to pass. She will also delve into why Cory Booker is now viewing the cannabis industry differently compared to his stance last year regarding social equity language.

Plus, we will highlight the biggest news in the cannabis industry that has developed today and what investors can expect as we head into the week.